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Sportunion Mauer vs Leobendorf

Austria Austria

Regionalliga East 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kerber F.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga East 2025/2026 game between Sportunion Mauer and Leobendorf finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportunion Mauer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sportunion Mauer
40%
Draws
29%
Leobendorf
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Leobendorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Regionalliga East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sportunion Mauer here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sportunion Mauer Clean Sheet 16%
Leobendorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportunion Mauer Leobendorf
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Regionalliga East
Sportunion Mauer vs Leobendorf
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Regionalliga East
Leobendorf vs Sportunion Mauer
0:0
May 24, 2025 Regionalliga East
Leobendorf vs Sportunion Mauer
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Regionalliga East
Sportunion Mauer vs Leobendorf
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportunion Mauer Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerber F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Leobendorf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportunion Mauer 31 / 100
Leobendorf 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportunion Mauer Leobendorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leobendorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Leobendorf registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sportunion Mauer scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sportunion Mauer VS Leobendorf
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportunion Mauer

(Home)
30 May
Sportunion Mauer
1 : 2
Retz
22 May
Gloggnitz
2 : 1
Sportunion Mauer
15 May
Sportunion Mauer
1 : 0
Leobendorf
08 May
Neusiedl
3 : 2
Sportunion Mauer
01 May
Sportunion Mauer
5 : 3
SV Oberwart
Page 1 of 6

Leobendorf

(Away)
18 Jul
Leobendorf
1 : 2
Laktasi
14 Jul
Leobendorf
3 : 0
Zwettl
10 Jul
Leobendorf
1 : 3
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
03 Jun
Leobendorf
5 : 1
Traiskirchen
29 May
Wiener
3 : 0
Leobendorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gloggnitz32188658:4562
2Parndorf32188658:3462
3Kremser32177861:3358
4Leobendorf321831148:3457
5SV Oberwart321751073:4256
6Horn32149957:3551
7Traiskirchen321481070:5250
8FC Marchfeld Donauauen321310955:3749
9Donaufeld Wien321381151:4447
10Wiener321371254:5246
11Wiener Viktoria321361350:5145
12SV Donau321281250:5744
13Favoritner321231744:5239
14Sportunion Mauer321071532:4737
15Neusiedl32851946:7229
16Retz32482025:6420
17TWL Elektra32222821:1028
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