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Springvale vs Keilor Park

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ferreira-Hughes M.
10' Event
Quinn B.
14' Event
Mavricos M.

AI Match Summary

Springvale in this Victoria Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Springvale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Springvale
15%
Draws
46%
Keilor Park
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keilor Park

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keilor Park lately — more wins on the board than Springvale.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Springvale Clean Sheet 15%
Keilor Park Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Springvale Keilor Park
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Springvale vs Keilor Park
5:2
Mar 20, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Keilor Park vs Springvale
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Springvale Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira-Hughes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinn B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Keilor Park Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Halleron S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Springvale 31 / 100
Keilor Park 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Springvale Keilor Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keilor Park Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Springvale scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Keilor Park conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Springvale went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Springvale VS Keilor Park
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Springvale

(Home)
29 Aug
Springvale
0 : 1
Bayside Argonauts
22 Aug
Werribee City
1 : 3
Springvale
14 Aug
Springvale
2 : 5
Malvern City
31 Jul
Kingston City
0 : 1
Springvale
25 Jul
Goulburn Valley Suns
2 : 1
Springvale
Page 1 of 6

Keilor Park

(Away)
11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Keilor Park
29 Aug
Keilor Park
2 : 1
Altona City
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4
Keilor Park
14 Aug
Keilor Park
3 : 3
Whittlesea United
08 Aug
Keilor Park
0 : 4
Goulburn Valley Suns
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Main)
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