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Springvale vs Keilor Park

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Springvale play Keilor Park in the Victoria Premier League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Springvale averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Keilor Park averaged 1 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Springvale won 1, Keilor Park won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Springvale and 1.75 for Keilor Park. This points to a Keilor Park double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Springvale
22%
Draws
60%
Keilor Park
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Keilor Park

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Keilor Park has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Springvale.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Keilor Park.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Victoria Premier League 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Springvale Clean Sheet 12%
Keilor Park Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Springvale Keilor Park
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 1
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Springvale vs Keilor Park
5:2
Mar 20, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Keilor Park vs Springvale
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Springvale Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira-Hughes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinn B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Keilor Park Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Halleron S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Springvale 19 / 100
Keilor Park 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Springvale Keilor Park

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Springvale scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Keilor Park let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Springvale went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Keilor Park lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Springvale VS Keilor Park
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Goulburn Valley Suns19133343:2542
2Malvern City19131542:2340
3Essendon Royals20121749:3037
4Bayside Argonauts19104538:2834
5Keilor Park19101826:2631
6Box Hill1985629:2429
7Whittlesea United2076731:2327
8Springvale2075825:3526
9Eastern Lions1965830:2623
10Nunawading City1964918:3022
11Werribee City20551026:3420
12Kingston City19621119:4020
13Altona City20371017:2816
14Moreland City18251120:4111