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SpVg Porz 1919 vs Siegburger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between SpVg Porz 1919 and Siegburger finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siegburger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SpVg Porz 1919
35%
Draws
32%
Siegburger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • SpVg Porz 1919 haven't matched Siegburger's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Siegburger have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
SpVg Porz 1919 Clean Sheet 10%
Siegburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SpVg Porz 1919 Siegburger
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.8 2.42
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
SpVg Porz 1919 vs Siegburger
1:5
Sep 21, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs SpVg Porz 1919
1:3
Mar 9, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs SpVg Porz 1919
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
SpVg Porz 1919 vs Siegburger
0:2
May 20, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs SpVg Porz 1919
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SpVg Porz 1919 30 / 100
Siegburger 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SpVg Porz 1919 Siegburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siegburger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SpVg Porz 1919 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Siegburger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

SpVg Porz 1919 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SpVg Porz 1919 VS Siegburger
1.38 Goals Scored 2
4.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SpVg Porz 1919

(Home)
20 Sept
SpVg Porz 1919
2 : 0
Bornheim
13 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
06 Sept
SpVg Porz 1919
2 : 2
VfL Vichttal
30 Aug
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
2 : 2
SpVg Porz 1919
07 Jun
Bergisch Gladbach
10 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
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Siegburger

(Away)
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Siegburger
2 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
06 Sept
Chlodwig Zulpich
5 : 2
Siegburger
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
26 Jul
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
6 : 1
Siegburger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)