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SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs Gievenbeck - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen host Gievenbeck in the Oberliga Westfalen. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: SpVgg Herne Horsthausen at 1.82 goals for, 2.27 against; Gievenbeck at 1.9 for, 1.48 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.44, favoring Gievenbeck. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
15%
Draws
49%
Gievenbeck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gievenbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • SpVgg Herne Horsthausen haven't matched Gievenbeck's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen Clean Sheet 10%
Gievenbeck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SpVgg Herne Horsthausen Gievenbeck
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 30 / 100
Gievenbeck 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen Gievenbeck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen scored in 82% of their last 11 games.

Gievenbeck's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Gievenbeck has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen VS Gievenbeck
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SpVgg Herne Horsthausen

(Home)
11 Oct
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
1 : 0
TuS Hordel
03 Oct
Lippstadt
5 : 3
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
27 Sept
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
4 : 2
Schermbeck 2020
20 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
3 : 1
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
13 Sept
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen
4 : 3
Sprockhovel
Page 1 of 3

Gievenbeck

(Away)
10 Oct
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 2
Gievenbeck
04 Oct
Gievenbeck
3 : 0
Hiltrup
30 Sept
Verl II
6 : 0
Gievenbeck
19 Sept
Gievenbeck
2 : 0
Arminia Bielefeld II
13 Sept
Clarholz
2 : 4
Gievenbeck
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gievenbeck 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
2 Vreden 10 7 1 2 27:20 22
3 Eintracht Rheine 10 6 1 3 22:15 19
4 Maaslingen 10 6 1 3 19:14 19
5 Erkenschwick 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Sprockhovel 10 5 2 3 26:17 17
7 Lippstadt 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Arminia Bielefeld II 10 4 3 3 17:14 15
9 Westfalia Kinderhaus 10 4 3 3 13:14 15
10 Verl II 10 4 2 4 20:18 14
11 ASC 09 Dortmund 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
12 Preussen Munster 2 10 3 3 4 16:15 12
13 SpVgg Herne Horsthausen 10 4 0 6 18:23 12
14 TuS Hordel 10 2 4 4 14:18 10
15 Hiltrup 10 3 1 6 10:21 10
16 Clarholz 10 2 2 6 21:23 8
17 TUS Ennepetal 10 0 5 5 11:25 5
18 Schermbeck 2020 9 0 2 7 9:24 2
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)