Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spyrnir vs Neisti

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Davidsson A.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Thorarinsson J.
33' Event
Thorarinsson J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Spyrnir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Spyrnir
15%
Draws
53%
Neisti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neisti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Neisti's 1.67 goals per match outpaces what Spyrnir have produced (1).
  • Neisti are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Spyrnir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Spyrnir Clean Sheet 10%
Neisti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spyrnir Neisti
Matches Played 6 3
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.5 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Spyrnir vs Neisti
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spyrnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorarinsson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Neisti Compare

Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spyrnir 14 / 100
Neisti 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spyrnir Neisti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neisti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neisti let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Spyrnir found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).

Spyrnir went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spyrnir VS Neisti
1 Goals Scored 1.67
3.5 Goals Conceded 4
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 100%
67% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Spyrnir

(Home)
21 Mar
Spyrnir
:
Sindri
05 Apr
KFA
3 : 0
Spyrnir
29 Mar
Spyrnir
5 : 0
Neisti
05 Apr
Spyrnir
0 : 5
Hottur / Huginn
06 Apr
KFA
7 : 1
Spyrnir
Page 1 of 2

Neisti

(Away)
27 Mar
Hottur / Huginn
5 : 0
Neisti
21 Mar
Einherji
2 : 5
Neisti
29 Mar
Spyrnir
5 : 0
Neisti

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 1
KA Asvellir 2
SR Reykjavik 2
KFR 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
KFG Gardabaer 2
Reynir 3
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 5
Volsungur 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Throttur -
TBD -
Ymir 3
Hafnir 4
Kari 7
KFS 1
Arbaer 4
Thorlakur 1
Aegir 2
KV Reykjavik 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
TBD -
BF 108 8
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar -
Kria 2
Lettir 1
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Smari 4
Falkar 0
Hamar 1
Skallagrimur 3
Ulfarnir 3
Stokkseyri 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 3
RB Keflavik 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
IBU 0
Hviti 6
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
KH Hlidarendi 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
KFK Kopavogur 1
Ellidi 5
Alftanes 0
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Magni 4
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Arborg 0
Augnablik 4
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Grotta -
TBD -
Vidir 2
Hordur Isafjordur 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Sindri 2
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
Spyrnir 5
Neisti 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 3
KFR 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Reynir 0
Grindavik 5
TBD -
Valur -
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 2
Throttur 7
Hafnir 0
Kari 8
Arbaer 1
KV Reykjavik 1
Fylkir 6
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
BF 108 0
Keflavik 6
Throttur Vogar 0
Kria 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Olafsvik 5
Smari 1
Skallagrimur 1
Ulfarnir 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vestri -
TBD -
Kopavogur 4
Hviti 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 5
Ellidi 1
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri 7
Magni 0
Augnablik 0
IR Reykjavik 5
Grotta 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur / Huginn 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KFA 3
Spyrnir 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
KR Reykjavik 11
KA Asvellir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Grindavik 1
Valur 3
Volsungur 2
Throttur 3
Kari 2
Fylkir 1
Stjarnan 5
Njardvik 3
Keflavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 7
Ulfarnir 1
Breidablik 5
Fjolnir 0
Vestri 4
Kopavogur 3
Selfoss 4
Haukar 0
Thor Akureyri 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Grotta 1
Akranes 4
Afturelding 5
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 4
KFA 0
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
KR Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Valur 2
Throttur 1
Kari 2
Stjarnan 3
Keflavik 5
Olafsvik 2
Breidablik 1
Vestri 2
Selfoss 1
Thor Akureyri 4
Akranes 0
Afturelding 1
KA Akureyri 2
Fram 4
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Valur 1
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 2
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Afturelding 0
Fram 1
Semi-finals
Valur 3
Stjarnan 1
Vestri 1
Fram 0
Final
Valur 0
Vestri 1