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Sri Lanka U17 vs China U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

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AFC Asian Cup U17 2026
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Sri Lanka U17

0 - 8
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China U17 Logo

China U17

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

China U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 tie, finishing 0-8. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sri Lanka U17
15%
Draws
59%
China U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to China U17 lately — more wins on the board than Sri Lanka U17.
  • China U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • China U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor China U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sri Lanka U17 Clean Sheet 10%
China U17 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka U17 China U17
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 2 15
Draws 0 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.91 3.53
Goals Conceded 3.82 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Sri Lanka U17 vs China U17
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka U17 10 / 100
China U17 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka U17 China U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Sri Lanka U17 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (11 games).

China U17 let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sri Lanka U17 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka U17 VS China U17
1.2 Goals Scored 5.63
3.4 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
60% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka U17

(Home)
30 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
28 Nov
Sri Lanka U17
0 : 8
China U17
26 Nov
Sri Lanka U17
0 : 5
Bangladesh U17
24 Nov
Bahrain U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
22 Nov
Brunei U17
0 : 4
Sri Lanka U17
Page 1 of 3

China U17

(Away)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
China U17
0 : 2
Tanzania U17
05 Jul
China U17
3 : 0
Australia U17
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
China U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 5 5 0 0 42:0 15
2 Bangladesh U17 5 4 0 1 20:5 12
3 Bahrain U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
4 Timor-Leste U17 5 2 0 3 4:23 6
5 Sri Lanka U17 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
6 Brunei U17 5 0 0 5 0:36 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Laos U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
3 Pakistan U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
5 Cambodia U17 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Guam U17 5 0 0 5 1:43 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 5 5 0 0 30:0 15
2 Malaysia U17 5 4 0 1 21:5 12
3 Hong Kong U17 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
4 Singapore U17 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
5 Macau U17 5 1 1 3 3:12 4
6 Northern Mariana Islands U17 5 0 0 5 1:35 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U17 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 Iran U17 4 2 1 1 10:4 7
3 Lebanon U17 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
5 Chinese Taipei U17 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Iraq U17 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
5 Philippines U17 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 4 3 0 1 16:4 9
2 Turkmenistan U17 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
4 Mongolia U17 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 1:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U17 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Oman U17 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Syria U17 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
4 Afghanistan U17 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U17 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)