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Sri Lanka U20 vs Nepal U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship U20 2024 Dasharath Rangasala, Kathmandu
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Dhami N.

AI Match Summary

Nepal U20 in this SAFF Championship U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nepal U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sri Lanka U20
15%
Draws
59%
Nepal U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nepal U20 have won more games recently than Sri Lanka U20.
  • Model gives Nepal U20 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nepal U20 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Sri Lanka U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka U20 Nepal U20
Matches Played 19 20
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.37 1.15
Goals Conceded 2.74 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 SAFF Championship U20
Sri Lanka U20 vs Nepal U20
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 SAFF Championship U20
Sri Lanka U20 vs Nepal U20
0:1
Jul 27, 2022 SAFF Championship U20
Sri Lanka U20 vs Nepal U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Lanka U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nepal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dhami N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka U20 18 / 100
Nepal U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka U20 Nepal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nepal U20 conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Sri Lanka U20 found the back of the net in 21% of recent matches (19 games).

Sri Lanka U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka U20 VS Nepal U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Brunei U20
0 : 2
Sri Lanka U20
03 Sept
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 4
Maldives U20
31 Aug
Myanmar U20
4 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
27 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

Nepal U20

(Away)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nepal U20 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Bangladesh U20 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Sri Lanka U20 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
4 Pakistan U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U20 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Bhutan U20 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Maldives U20 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)