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Sri Lanka vs Bhutan Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
De Silva D.
55' Event
Kelaart O.
60'
Sub
Namgyel T. In: Dorji J.
Out: Namgyel T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Sri Lanka and Bhutan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sri Lanka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Sri Lanka
15%
Draws
17%
Bhutan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Bhutan haven't matched Sri Lanka's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 68%
Bhutan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka Bhutan
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.04 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.11 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Bhutan
4:1
Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Bhutan
2:0
Mar 17, 2015 World Championship
Bhutan vs Sri Lanka
2:1
Mar 12, 2015 World Championship
Sri Lanka vs Bhutan
0:1
Sep 6, 2013 SAFF Championship
Sri Lanka vs Bhutan
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Lanka Compare

Top Goalscorer De Silva D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelaart O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Bhutan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka 95 / 100
Bhutan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka Bhutan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bhutan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sri Lanka stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Bhutan's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka VS Bhutan
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka

(Home)
30 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 2
Sri Lanka
27 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 3
Sri Lanka
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
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Bhutan

(Away)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0
Bhutan
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1
Bhutan
13 Nov
India
6 : 1
Bhutan
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