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Sri Lanka vs Brunei Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025 Alpine Football Camp, Bangkok
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Perera L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Sri Lanka and Brunei finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sri Lanka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sri Lanka
15%
Draws
0%
Brunei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brunei haven't matched Sri Lanka's recent run of results.
  • Sri Lanka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 20%
Brunei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka Brunei
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.04 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.11 3.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2025 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Brunei
1:0
Jun 11, 2024 Friendly International
Brunei vs Sri Lanka
1:0
Jun 8, 2024 Friendly International
Brunei vs Sri Lanka
1:0
Apr 4, 2009 AFC Challenge Cup
Sri Lanka vs Brunei
5:1
Apr 2, 2006 AFC Challenge Cup
Sri Lanka vs Brunei
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Lanka Compare

Top Goalscorer Perera L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Brunei Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka 85 / 100
Brunei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka Brunei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brunei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Brunei lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sri Lanka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka VS Brunei
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka

(Home)
30 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 2
Sri Lanka
27 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 3
Sri Lanka
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
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Brunei

(Away)
30 Sept
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Brunei
24 Sept
Laos
3 : 1
Brunei
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
02 Jun
Brunei
0 : 3
Timor-Leste
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
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