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Sri Lanka vs Cambodia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Colombo Racecourse, Colombo
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sareth K.
41'
Suresh B.
49'
Dekker W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sri Lanka
15%
Draws
31%
Cambodia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Sri Lanka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Sri Lanka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 68%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka Cambodia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 Asian Cup
Cambodia vs Sri Lanka
2:3
Sep 5, 2024 Asian Cup
Sri Lanka vs Cambodia
0:0
Oct 9, 2016 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Sri Lanka
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka 95 / 100
Cambodia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka Cambodia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cambodia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sri Lanka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sri Lanka's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka VS Cambodia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka

(Home)
05 Oct
Mauritius
2 : 3
Sri Lanka
02 Oct
Mauritius
3 : 0
Sri Lanka
30 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 2
Sri Lanka
27 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 3
Sri Lanka
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
Page 1 of 6

Cambodia

(Away)
03 Oct
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Cambodia
30 Sept
Timor-Leste
2 : 2
Cambodia
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Sri Lanka 3
Cambodia 2
Timor-Leste 4
Mongolia 3
Brunei 4
Macau 0