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Sri Lanka vs Djibouti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sri Lanka host Djibouti in the Friendly International. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sri Lanka have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Djibouti's 0.78 scored and 2.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Sri Lanka have won 0 to Djibouti's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.50 - 0.69) back Sri Lanka to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Sri Lanka
15%
Draws
17%
Djibouti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Sri Lanka have won more games recently than Djibouti.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 20%
Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka Djibouti
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.07 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Djibouti
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka 85 / 100
Djibouti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka Djibouti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Djibouti conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Sri Lanka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Djibouti's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sri Lanka scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka VS Djibouti
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka

(Home)
05 Oct
Mauritius
2 : 3
Sri Lanka
02 Oct
Mauritius
3 : 0
Sri Lanka
30 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 2
Sri Lanka
27 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 3
Sri Lanka
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
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Djibouti

(Away)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
17 Nov
Morocco B
7 : 0
Djibouti
15 Nov
Morocco B
6 : 0
Djibouti
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