Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sri Pahang vs Perak

Malaysia Malaysia

Malaysia Cup 2024/2025 Darulmakmur Stadium, Kuantan
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hidalgo M.
9' Event
Haikal W.
30' Event
Hidalgo M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Malaysia Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Sri Pahang
20%
Draws
24%
Perak
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sri Pahang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Sri Pahang haven't matched Perak's recent run of results.
  • Sri Pahang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Perak arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Perak, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sri Pahang Clean Sheet 68%
Perak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Pahang Perak
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Super League
Perak vs Sri Pahang
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Malaysia Cup
Sri Pahang vs Perak
3:3
Dec 13, 2024 Malaysia Cup
Perak vs Sri Pahang
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Perak
0:3
Jul 30, 2023 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Perak
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Pahang Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidalgo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Perak Compare

Top Goalscorer Haikal W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saiyadi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Pahang 95 / 100
Perak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Pahang Perak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Pahang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Pahang scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Perak let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Sri Pahang remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sri Pahang VS Perak
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Pahang

(Home)
26 Apr
Johor DT
2 : 1
Sri Pahang
19 Apr
Sri Pahang
3 : 2
Penang
12 Apr
Perak
0 : 1
Sri Pahang
08 Apr
Sri Pahang
6 : 0
Kedah
08 Mar
PDRM FC
1 : 3
Sri Pahang
Page 1 of 6

Perak

(Away)
09 Sept
Kuala Lumpur City
0 : 0
Perak
01 Sept
Perak
0 : 1
Kuala Lumpur City
11 Mar
Sabah
1 : 0
Perak
04 Mar
Perak
0 : 0
Sabah
13 Feb
Perak
3 : 2
Damansara
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kuala Lumpur Rovers 0
Johor DT 9
Kedah 4
Kuala Lumpur City 6
Melaka FC 1
Terengganu 4
Negeri Sembilan FA 4
PDRM FC 2
Sri Pahang 3
Selangor 2
Kelantan The Real Warriors 1
Perak 6
Penang 0
Kuching City FC 3
Putrajaya Antlers 0
Sabah 7
Quarter-finals
Johor DT 6
Kuala Lumpur City 1
Terengganu 6
Negeri Sembilan FA 2
Sri Pahang 4
Perak 3
Kuching City FC 0
Sabah 1
Semi-finals
Johor DT 6
Terengganu 1
Sri Pahang 3
Sabah 2
Final
Johor DT 2
Sri Pahang 1