Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Abouzziane S.
30'
30'
Labas J.
Assist: Isaraj A.
42'
42'
Ben Kacem M.
Assist: Evaristi M.
AI Match Summary
Fiorentino in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorentino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fiorentino lately — more wins on the board than SS Murata.
- Fiorentino are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SS Murata | Fiorentino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 26 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.74 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.74 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Fiorentino
1:4
Dec 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SS Murata
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Fiorentino
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SS Murata
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Fiorentino
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SS Murata Compare
Top Goalscorer Labas J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Fiorentino Compare
Top Goalscorer Abouzziane S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ben Kacem M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SS Murata 18 / 100
Fiorentino 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SS Murata Fiorentino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fiorentino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fiorentino let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Difficult form: Fiorentino registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
SS Murata's goal record stands at 42% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
SS Murata VS Fiorentino
1 Goals Scored 1.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
SS Murata
(Home) 18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4 Fiorentino
08 Apr
SS Murata
0 : 3 Tre Fiori
Page 1 of 3
Fiorentino
(Away) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
02 May
La Fiorita
1 : 0 Fiorentino
18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4 Fiorentino
07 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 3 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
