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Stadium Background

SS Murata vs San Giovanni

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Zanni M.
Assist: D'Angeli E.
31' Event
Spennato M.
Assist: Rushani I.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between SS Murata and San Giovanni finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Giovanni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SS Murata
15%
Draws
42%
San Giovanni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SS Murata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • San Giovanni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Murata San Giovanni
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs San Giovanni
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Murata
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs San Giovanni
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Murata
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs San Giovanni
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Murata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

San Giovanni Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spennato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Murata 30 / 100
San Giovanni 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Murata San Giovanni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Giovanni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Away concern: San Giovanni has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

SS Murata scored in 44% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SS Murata VS San Giovanni
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Murata

(Home)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 7

San Giovanni

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)