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SS Murata vs SP Cosmos Prediction & H2H Stats

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
SS Murata Logo

SS Murata

0 - 3
FT
SP Cosmos Logo

SP Cosmos

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ambrosini A.
Assist: Islamaj K.
57' Event
Ambrosini A.
Assist: Mularoni M.
90' Event
Mhilli M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SS Murata and SP Cosmos finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SP Cosmos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
SS Murata
15%
Draws
65%
SP Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SP Cosmos come out ahead of SS Murata on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on SP Cosmos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Murata SP Cosmos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 11
Draws 2 11
Losses 26 10
Goals Scored 0.6 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.8 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs SP Cosmos
0:2
Mar 1, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs SP Cosmos
0:3
Oct 31, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs SS Murata
1:1
Jan 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs SP Cosmos
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs SS Murata
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Murata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

SP Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambrosini A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mhilli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Murata 10 / 100
SP Cosmos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Murata SP Cosmos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Cosmos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: SS Murata scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: SP Cosmos conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: SS Murata stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SS Murata VS SP Cosmos
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Murata

(Home)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 6

SP Cosmos

(Away)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)