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SS Murata vs SP Domagnano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SS Murata host SP Domagnano in the Campionato Sammarinese. SP Domagnano are expected to control this from the start. SS Murata have averaged 0.73 scored and 2.8 conceded recently, against SP Domagnano's 1.84 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor SP Domagnano slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.43 vs 2.16, favoring SP Domagnano. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
SS Murata
15%
Draws
64%
SP Domagnano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Domagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SP Domagnano come out ahead of SS Murata on wins alone.
  • Model gives SP Domagnano a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Murata SP Domagnano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs SS Murata
5:0
Oct 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs SP Domagnano
0:6
Jan 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs SS Murata
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs SP Domagnano
3:3
Jan 27, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs SS Murata
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Murata 10 / 100
SP Domagnano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Murata SP Domagnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Domagnano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Domagnano let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: SS Murata scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

SS Murata went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SS Murata VS SP Domagnano
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
2.57 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Murata

(Home)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 6

SP Domagnano

(Away)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)