Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SS Murata vs Tre Fiori

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bernardi T. L.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Prandelli M.
Assist: Sami B.
71' Event
Rea S.
Assist: Braschi L.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SS Murata and Tre Fiori finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tre Fiori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
SS Murata
15%
Draws
68%
Tre Fiori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • SS Murata haven't matched Tre Fiori's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Tre Fiori taking it.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tre Fiori here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Murata Tre Fiori
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Tre Fiori
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SS Murata
4:0
Mar 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SS Murata
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Tre Fiori
0:2
Apr 30, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Tre Fiori
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Murata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Prandelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rea S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Murata 10 / 100
Tre Fiori 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Murata Tre Fiori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

SS Murata found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Tre Fiori's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

Solid form: SS Murata remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SS Murata VS Tre Fiori
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Murata

(Home)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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Tre Fiori

(Away)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)