Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SS Murata vs Virtus

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Piscitella G.
Assist: Buonocunto I.
36' Event
Piscitella G.
Assist: Gjoni A.
51' Event
Blanco B.
Assist: Amati A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
SS Murata
15%
Draws
69%
Virtus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virtus lately — more wins on the board than SS Murata.
  • Model gives Virtus a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Virtus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Virtus have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%
Virtus Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Murata Virtus
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 20
Draws 2 6
Losses 26 5
Goals Scored 0.6 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.8 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Coppa Titano
SS Murata vs Virtus
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SS Murata
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Virtus
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Virtus
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SS Murata
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Murata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Piscitella G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Murata 10 / 100
Virtus 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Murata Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

SS Murata found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Virtus conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: SS Murata remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SS Murata VS Virtus
1 Goals Scored 3
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Murata

(Home)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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Virtus

(Away)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Penne 2
Juvenes/Dogana 1
Fiorentino 0
Tre Fiori 1
SP Domagnano 3
SC Faetano 1
San Giovanni 0
SP Cosmos 1
AC Libertas 0
Folgore 2
SS Pennarossa 3
Cailungo 0
SS Murata 0
Virtus 3
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
TBD -
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