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SS Nola 1925 vs A.C.D. Nardo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Romano A.
39' Event
Garnica A.
45' Event
Galano C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between SS Nola 1925 and A.C.D. Nardo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SS Nola 1925.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SS Nola 1925
35%
Draws
32%
A.C.D. Nardo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C.D. Nardo come out ahead of SS Nola 1925 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 20%
A.C.D. Nardo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Nola 1925 A.C.D. Nardo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.59 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs A.C.D. Nardo
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs SS Nola 1925
0:2
Mar 20, 2022 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs SS Nola 1925
1:1
Sep 26, 2021 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs A.C.D. Nardo
2:1
May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group H
A.C.D. Nardo vs SS Nola 1925
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Nola 1925 Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galano C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.29

A.C.D. Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garnica A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Nola 1925 32 / 100
A.C.D. Nardo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Nola 1925 A.C.D. Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SS Nola 1925's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

SS Nola 1925 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: A.C.D. Nardo conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SS Nola 1925 VS A.C.D. Nardo
0.43 Goals Scored 0.75
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Nola 1925

(Home)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
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A.C.D. Nardo

(Away)
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0
Melfi
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)