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SS Nola 1925 vs Heraclea Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Sun, May 10, 2026
1 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

92' Event
Peluso M.
106' Event
Mokulu B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SS Nola 1925
30%
Draws
31%
Heraclea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SS Nola 1925

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • SS Nola 1925 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • SS Nola 1925 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Heraclea, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 18%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Nola 1925 Heraclea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Heraclea
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs SS Nola 1925
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Heraclea
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Nola 1925 Compare

Top Goalscorer Peluso M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Heraclea Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokulu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Nola 1925 36 / 100
Heraclea 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Nola 1925 Heraclea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heraclea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SS Nola 1925 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Heraclea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: SS Nola 1925 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SS Nola 1925 VS Heraclea
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Nola 1925

(Home)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 6

Heraclea

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3
Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Sarnese 2
Pompei 1
SS Nola 1925 1
Heraclea 1