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SS Nola 1925 vs Paganese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Labriola V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between SS Nola 1925 and Paganese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paganese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SS Nola 1925
30%
Draws
47%
Paganese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paganese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paganese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paganese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 17%
Paganese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Nola 1925 Paganese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Paganese vs SS Nola 1925
5:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Paganese
0:1
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Paganese vs SS Nola 1925
0:0
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group G
SS Nola 1925 vs Paganese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Nola 1925 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Paganese Compare

Top Goalscorer Labriola V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Nola 1925 10 / 100
Paganese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Nola 1925 Paganese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paganese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SS Nola 1925 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Paganese conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SS Nola 1925 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SS Nola 1925 VS Paganese
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Nola 1925

(Home)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 6

Paganese

(Away)
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3
Paganese
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1
Unipomezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)