Sport Picks
SS Pennarossa vs Fiorentino Prediction & H2H Stats
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
11'
11'
Pintore M.
Assist: Dulcetti M.
23'
23'
Domini T.
37'
37'
Ben Kacem M.
Assist: Gjonaj A.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SS Pennarossa and Fiorentino finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fiorentino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SS Pennarossa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fiorentino come out ahead of SS Pennarossa on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 14%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SS Pennarossa | Fiorentino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Fiorentino
3:1
Jan 20, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Fiorentino
2:4
Sep 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SS Pennarossa
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Fiorentino
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs SS Pennarossa
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SS Pennarossa Compare
Top Goalscorer Pintore M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Domini T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Fiorentino Compare
Top Goalscorer Ben Kacem M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Belward S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SS Pennarossa 31 / 100
Fiorentino 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SS Pennarossa Fiorentino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fiorentino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
SS Pennarossa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Fiorentino has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Fiorentino has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SS Pennarossa VS Fiorentino
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
SS Pennarossa
(Home) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
18 Apr
SS Pennarossa
0 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
21 Mar
SS Pennarossa
2 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 3
Fiorentino
(Away) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
02 May
La Fiorita
1 : 0 Fiorentino
18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4 Fiorentino
07 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 3 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
