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SSA U20 vs Bahia de Feira U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SSA U20 play Bahia de Feira U20 in the Baiano U20 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, SSA U20 averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Bahia de Feira U20 averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, SSA U20 won 0, Bahia de Feira U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 8, 2023 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for SSA U20 and 1.31 for Bahia de Feira U20. This points to a SSA U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
SSA U20
19%
Draws
39%
Bahia de Feira U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: SSA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • SSA U20 picked up more points recently compared to Bahia de Feira U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
SSA U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Bahia de Feira U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SSA U20 Bahia de Feira U20
Matches Played 37 36
Wins 15 16
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Baiano U20
SSA U20 vs Bahia de Feira U20
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SSA U20 41 / 100
Bahia de Feira U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SSA U20 Bahia de Feira U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SSA U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SSA U20 attacking → ← attacking Bahia de Feira U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SSA U20 scored in 76% of their last 37 games.

Bahia de Feira U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

SSA U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bahia de Feira U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 52
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahia de Feira U20862020:520
2Bahia U20860216:818
3Jacuipense U20851215:616
4Atlantico EC U20833215:1212
5SSA U20833212:1612
6Itabuna U20840415:2012
7Juazeiro U20820612:226
8UNIRB U20811611:164
9Juazeirense U2080268:192
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vitoria U20981030:325
2Camacariense U20962117:520
3Conquista FC U20951311:816
4Atlantico EC U20833215:1212
5Vitoria da Conquista U20840411:1112
6Jacobinense U20831410:1310
7Doce Mel U2093069:159
8Alagoinhas U2092257:168
9Leonico U20921612:307
10Esporte Clube Pocoes U2090095:250