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SSA vs Grapiuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
SSA Logo

SSA

3 - 0
FT
Grapiuna Logo

Grapiuna

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ribeiro Cruz K.
44' Event
Ruan Levine
67' Event
Douglas
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 game between SSA and Grapiuna finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SSA
15%
Draws
46%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • SSA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SSA a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SSA have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
SSA Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SSA Grapiuna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.47 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Baiano 2
SSA vs Grapiuna
3:0
Jun 13, 2025 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs SSA
1:4
Jul 8, 2024 Baiano 2
SSA vs Grapiuna
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro Cruz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruan Levine
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Grapiuna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SSA 67 / 100
Grapiuna 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SSA Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

SSA scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Grapiuna let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: SSA stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SSA VS Grapiuna
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SSA

(Home)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
Page 1 of 6

Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)