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Stadium Background

SSA vs Leonico

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
SSA Logo

SSA

1 - 1
FT
Leonico Logo

Leonico

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Arthur Cacule
90' Event
Rickson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2025 game between SSA and Leonico finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
SSA
15%
Draws
42%
Leonico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Leonico haven't matched SSA's recent run of results.
  • Leonico are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SSA Clean Sheet 18%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SSA Leonico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.47 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Baiano 2
Leonico vs SSA
0:3
May 25, 2025 Baiano 2
SSA vs Leonico
1:1
Jun 11, 2024 Baiano 2
Leonico vs SSA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Cacule
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Leonico Compare

Top Goalscorer Rickson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SSA 23 / 100
Leonico 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SSA Leonico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: SSA scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Difficult form: Leonico registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SSA VS Leonico
2 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SSA

(Home)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
Page 1 of 6

Leonico

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabuna 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 Bahia de Feira 9 6 2 1 28:5 20
3 Fluminense de Feira 9 6 2 1 16:5 20
4 Galicia 9 4 3 2 20:9 15
5 EC Ypiranga 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
7 SSA 9 2 4 3 10:8 10
8 Leonico 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
9 Grapiuna 9 0 1 8 4:31 1
10 Teixeira de Freitas 9 0 1 8 0:24 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2025 (Play Offs)