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St. Albans vs Aveley

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Nwabueze J.

AI Match Summary

Aveley in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aveley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
St. Albans
15%
Draws
37%
Aveley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Albans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Aveley have won more games recently than St. Albans.
  • Model gives Aveley a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
St. Albans Clean Sheet 10%
Aveley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Albans Aveley
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
St. Albans vs Aveley
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 FA Trophy
Aveley vs St. Albans
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Aveley vs St. Albans
1:1
Feb 25, 2025 National League South
St. Albans vs Aveley
3:0
Nov 25, 2024 National League South
Aveley vs St. Albans
6:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Albans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Aveley Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwabueze J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Albans 18 / 100
Aveley 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Albans Aveley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aveley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: St. Albans scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Aveley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: St. Albans stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Albans VS Aveley
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Albans

(Home)
22 Aug
Ramsgate
4 : 0
St. Albans
15 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 2
Lewes
11 Aug
Enfield Town
1 : 2
St. Albans
08 Aug
St. Albans
3 : 1
Chatham
03 Aug
Potters
1 : 3
St. Albans
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Aveley

(Away)
22 Aug
Three Bridges
1 : 5
Aveley
15 Aug
Aveley
3 : 2
Whitehawk
11 Aug
Maldon & Tiptree
1 : 0
Aveley
08 Aug
Aveley
2 : 2
Eastbourne Borough
01 Aug
Southend
4 : 0
Aveley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)