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St. Albans vs Lewes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Spinks J.
90' Event
Newson C.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between St. Albans and Lewes finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lewes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St. Albans
20%
Draws
40%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • St. Albans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Albans's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
St. Albans Clean Sheet 20%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Albans Lewes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
St. Albans vs Lewes
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs St. Albans
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
St. Albans vs Lewes
3:0
Jan 29, 2011 National League South
St. Albans vs Lewes
0:0
Nov 13, 2010 National League South
Lewes vs St. Albans
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Albans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Spinks J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Newson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Albans 76 / 100
Lewes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Albans Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Albans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Albans scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lewes has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

St. Albans went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Albans VS Lewes
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Albans

(Home)
10 Oct
Carshalton
0 : 1
St. Albans
03 Oct
Harborough
3 : 2
St. Albans
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1
Bury Town
19 Sept
FC Witham Town
0 : 3
St. Albans
15 Sept
Cray Wanderers
3 : 3
St. Albans
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Lewes

(Away)
17 Oct
Lewes
1 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
13 Oct
Three Bridges
1 : 2
Lewes
10 Oct
Cray Wanderers
1 : 2
Lewes
03 Oct
Lewes
1 : 0
Whitehawk
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 12 9 1 2 33:16 28
2 Welling 12 9 0 3 24:12 27
3 Lewes 13 8 2 3 20:14 26
4 Dartford 13 8 0 5 19:17 24
5 Ramsgate 13 7 1 5 29:17 22
6 Eastbourne Borough 11 7 1 3 21:11 22
7 Carshalton 15 7 1 7 23:28 22
8 Burgess Hill 12 5 5 2 23:17 20
9 Wingate & Finchley 12 6 2 4 24:23 20
10 Chatham 11 6 0 5 23:14 18
11 St. Albans 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
12 Dulwich Hamlet 12 5 2 5 20:20 17
13 Leatherhead 10 4 3 3 18:17 15
14 Whyteleafe 14 4 3 7 22:25 15
15 Cheshunt 12 3 6 3 12:15 15
16 Aveley 13 4 2 7 20:21 14
17 Maldon & Tiptree 14 4 1 9 18:35 13
18 Cray Wanderers 9 3 3 3 19:14 12
19 Brentwood 11 4 0 7 18:19 12
20 Three Bridges 13 2 3 8 23:36 9
21 Whitehawk 13 1 3 9 12:32 6
22 Stanway Rovers 12 1 1 10 9:32 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)