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St. Albans vs Lewes

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Spinks J.
90' Event
Newson C.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between St. Albans and Lewes finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lewes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
St. Albans
30%
Draws
51%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • St. Albans carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Albans's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
St. Albans Clean Sheet 18%
Lewes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Albans Lewes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
St. Albans vs Lewes
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs St. Albans
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
St. Albans vs Lewes
3:0
Jan 29, 2011 National League South
St. Albans vs Lewes
0:0
Nov 13, 2010 National League South
Lewes vs St. Albans
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Albans Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Spinks J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Newson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Albans 41 / 100
Lewes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Albans Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Albans scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Lewes has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

St. Albans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Albans VS Lewes
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Albans

(Home)
05 Sept
St. Albans
0 : 0
Hashtag
31 Aug
Cheshunt
1 : 1
St. Albans
29 Aug
St. Albans
4 : 1
Stanway Rovers
22 Aug
Ramsgate
4 : 0
St. Albans
15 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 2
Lewes
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Lewes

(Away)
05 Sept
Lewes
2 : 2
Cray Wanderers
31 Aug
Lewes
1 : 0
Eastbourne Borough
29 Aug
Aveley
0 : 2
Lewes
22 Aug
Lewes
3 : 1
Whyteleafe
15 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 2
Lewes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 6 5 0 1 20:7 15
2 Carshalton 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
3 Lewes 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
4 Welling 6 4 0 2 12:8 12
5 Dartford 6 4 0 2 8:8 12
6 Dulwich Hamlet 6 3 1 2 14:8 10
7 Aveley 6 3 1 2 12:8 10
8 Leatherhead 6 3 1 2 12:11 10
9 St. Albans 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
10 Ramsgate 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
11 Chatham 6 3 0 3 12:9 9
12 Burgess Hill 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
13 Cray Wanderers 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
14 Wingate & Finchley 6 2 2 2 8:11 8
15 Eastbourne Borough 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
16 Maldon & Tiptree 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
17 Cheshunt 6 0 5 1 4:6 5
18 Three Bridges 6 1 1 4 11:18 4
19 Brentwood 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Whitehawk 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
21 Whyteleafe 6 0 2 4 6:17 2
22 Stanway Rovers 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)