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St. Andrews vs Marsaskala FC

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
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Match Events

16' Event
51' Event
65' Event

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2022/2023 game between St. Andrews and Marsaskala FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
St. Andrews
17%
Draws
70%
Marsaskala FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Marsaskala FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Andrews come out ahead of Marsaskala FC on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Marsaskala FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 20%
Marsaskala FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Andrews Marsaskala FC
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Marsaskala FC
2:2
Nov 6, 2022 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Marsaskala FC
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Andrews 16 / 100
Marsaskala FC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Andrews Marsaskala FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsaskala FC has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

St. Andrews's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

St. Andrews has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Andrews VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%