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St. Andrews vs Santa Lucia Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Challenge League
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Attard Z.
78' Event
Vella T.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League game between St. Andrews and Santa Lucia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
St. Andrews
35%
Draws
53%
Santa Lucia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Lucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Andrews carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santa Lucia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Andrews Santa Lucia
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Santa Lucia
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Santa Lucia
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Challenge League
Santa Lucia vs St. Andrews
2:0
Mar 16, 2022 FA Trophy
St. Andrews vs Santa Lucia
1:2
May 5, 2019 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Santa Lucia
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Andrews Compare

Top Goalscorer Attard Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Santa Lucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vella T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Andrews 10 / 100
Santa Lucia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Andrews Santa Lucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Lucia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Andrews's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Santa Lucia has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

St. Andrews went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Andrews VS Santa Lucia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Andrews

(Home)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 7

Santa Lucia

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Vittoriosa
19 Apr
Mtarfa
1 : 5
Santa Lucia
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
06 Apr
Mgarr
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tarxien 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Victoria Hotspurs 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Fgura 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
4 Vittoriosa 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
5 Swieqi 2 1 1 0 6:5 4
6 Sirens 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Melita 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 Naxxar Lions 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
9 Pieta 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
10 Mgarr 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Santa Lucia 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Attard 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
13 St. Andrews 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
14 Zurrieq 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
15 Gudja 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
16 Zebbug 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League (Relegation Group)