Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vittoriosa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- St. Andrews have won more games recently than Vittoriosa.
- Win probability leans Vittoriosa's way, sitting at 70%.
- St. Andrews have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor St. Andrews, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 14%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Andrews | Vittoriosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Vittoriosa
3:3
Dec 6, 2025 FA Trophy
St. Andrews vs Vittoriosa
3:0
Feb 26, 2023 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs St. Andrews
3:1
Dec 16, 2022 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Vittoriosa
2:0
Jan 31, 2021 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs St. Andrews
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Andrews 15 / 100
Vittoriosa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Andrews Vittoriosa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vittoriosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
St. Andrews scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Vittoriosa has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
St. Andrews has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
St. Andrews VS Vittoriosa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Andrews
(Home) 13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0 St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2 St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1 Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3 Birzebbuga
14 Mar
Melita
3 : 0 St. Andrews
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11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1 Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3 Birzebbuga
07 Mar
St. Andrews
0 : 3 Sirens
14 Feb
St. Andrews
2 : 1 Santa Lucia
01 Feb
St. Andrews
3 : 3 Vittoriosa
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Vittoriosa
(Away) 12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0 Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3 Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1 Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
15 Mar
Mgarr
1 : 1 Vittoriosa
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12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0 Vittoriosa
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
15 Mar
Mgarr
1 : 1 Vittoriosa
03 Mar
Gudja
2 : 1 Vittoriosa
21 Feb
Marsa
2 : 2 Vittoriosa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
