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St. Asaph vs Denbigh

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Tue, Jul 15, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Asaph host Denbigh in the Club Friendly 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Denbigh have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while St. Asaph have conceded 3.18 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, St. Asaph have won 0 to Denbigh's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.79 xG vs 1.18) point toward St. Asaph. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
St. Asaph
15%
Draws
49%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denbigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Asaph haven't matched Denbigh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Denbigh's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
St. Asaph Clean Sheet 20%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Asaph Denbigh
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.18 1.53
Goals Conceded 3.18 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
St. Asaph vs Denbigh
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Asaph 16 / 100
Denbigh 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Asaph Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denbigh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denbigh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Denbigh's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

St. Asaph scored in 45% of their last 11 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Denbigh
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Asaph

(Home)
20 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 6
Bangor 1876
20 Jun
Mold Alexandra
2 : 0
St. Asaph
21 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 2
Llangollen
14 Oct
St. Asaph
0 : 1
Prestatyn
16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0
Llandudno Junction
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Denbigh

(Away)
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2
Denbigh
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3
Porthmadog
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