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St. Colomban Locmine vs Chauray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Belaggoune N.
49' Event
Tjomb G.
67' Event
Quarshie J.

AI Match Summary

St. Colomban Locmine in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Colomban Locmine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
St. Colomban Locmine
15%
Draws
0%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Colomban Locmine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chauray haven't matched St. Colomban Locmine's recent run of results.
  • St. Colomban Locmine are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • St. Colomban Locmine have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St. Colomban Locmine Clean Sheet 20%
Chauray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Colomban Locmine Chauray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National 1 - Group B
St. Colomban Locmine vs Chauray
3:1
Jan 24, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs St. Colomban Locmine
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 National 1 - Group A
St. Colomban Locmine vs Chauray
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Colomban Locmine Compare

Top Goalscorer Tjomb G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quarshie J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Belaggoune N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Colomban Locmine 85 / 100
Chauray 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Colomban Locmine Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Colomban Locmine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Chauray has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

St. Colomban Locmine scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Chauray's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

St. Colomban Locmine VS Chauray
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Colomban Locmine

(Home)
31 Oct
Saumur Olympique
0 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
17 Oct
St. Colomban Locmine
3 : 1
Chauray
03 Oct
Granville
2 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
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Chauray

(Away)
31 Oct
Tarbes
2 : 1
Chauray
17 Oct
St. Colomban Locmine
3 : 1
Chauray
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)