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St Eloi Lupopo vs New Soger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 Stade de la Victoire, Lubumbashi
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Eloi Lupopo host New Soger in the Ligue 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. New Soger have shipped 1.33 goals a game lately, while St Eloi Lupopo have conceded 0.73 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor St Eloi Lupopo slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (2.42 - 0.78) back St Eloi Lupopo to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
St Eloi Lupopo
35%
Draws
20%
New Soger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St Eloi Lupopo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Eloi Lupopo come out ahead of New Soger on wins alone.
  • St Eloi Lupopo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St Eloi Lupopo here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
St Eloi Lupopo Clean Sheet 20%
New Soger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Eloi Lupopo New Soger
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs New Soger
4:1
Dec 16, 2025 Ligue 1
New Soger vs St Eloi Lupopo
2:6
Mar 18, 2017 Ligue 1
New Soger vs St Eloi Lupopo
3:5
Oct 25, 2016 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs New Soger
1:0
Dec 13, 2015 Ligue 1
New Soger vs St Eloi Lupopo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Eloi Lupopo 85 / 100
New Soger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Eloi Lupopo New Soger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Eloi Lupopo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: St Eloi Lupopo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

St Eloi Lupopo found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: New Soger conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St Eloi Lupopo VS New Soger
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

St Eloi Lupopo

(Home)
20 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 0
AS Vita Club
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
0 : 0
Don Bosco
06 Jun
Simba
0 : 3
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 7

New Soger

(Away)
15 Apr
New Soger
0 : 3
Mazembe
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1
New Soger
02 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
4 : 1
New Soger
30 Mar
New Soger
1 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 St Eloi Lupopo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Don Bosco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Saint-Luc 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sanga Balende 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Lubumbashi Sport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 New Soger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Simba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Blessing 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Tanganyika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Malole 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Manika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Butras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Vita Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AS Maniema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dauphins Noirs 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 FC MK Etancheite 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 AC Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Etoile de Kivu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Aigles du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Celeste 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Anges Verts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 New Jack 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Novakin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Etoile du Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)