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St Eloi Lupopo vs Orlando Pirates

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Stade de la Victoire
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Eloi Lupopo play Orlando Pirates in the CAF Champions League. It looks like a close match. Recently, St Eloi Lupopo averaged 1.06 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. Orlando Pirates averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.45 conceded. In past meetings, St Eloi Lupopo won 1, Orlando Pirates won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 25, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for St Eloi Lupopo and 0.90 for Orlando Pirates. This points to a Orlando Pirates double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
St Eloi Lupopo
27%
Draws
44%
Orlando Pirates
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Orlando Pirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • St Eloi Lupopo picked up more points recently compared to Orlando Pirates.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 0.90 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
St Eloi Lupopo Clean Sheet 25%
Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Eloi Lupopo Orlando Pirates
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 21
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.06 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 CAF Champions League
Orlando Pirates vs St Eloi Lupopo
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 CAF Champions League
St Eloi Lupopo vs Orlando Pirates
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Eloi Lupopo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kashala R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kambou D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Orlando Pirates Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Eloi Lupopo 31 / 100
Orlando Pirates 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Eloi Lupopo Orlando Pirates

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Orlando Pirates or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St Eloi Lupopo attacking → ← attacking Orlando Pirates

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Eloi Lupopo scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Orlando Pirates let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

St Eloi Lupopo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Orlando Pirates lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 69
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.17
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00