Sport Picks

DR Congo

Ligue 1 Stade de la Victoire

Sanga Balende

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St Eloi Lupopo play Sanga Balende in the Ligue 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, St Eloi Lupopo averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Sanga Balende averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, St Eloi Lupopo won 3, Sanga Balende won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 18, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for St Eloi Lupopo and 1.19 for Sanga Balende. This points to a St Eloi Lupopo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

St Eloi Lupopo

28%

Draws

26%

Sanga Balende

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: St Eloi Lupopo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

St Eloi Lupopo picked up more points recently compared to Sanga Balende.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

St Eloi Lupopo Clean Sheet 20%

Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St Eloi Lupopo	Sanga Balende
Matches Played	44	30
Wins	21	10
Draws	12	6
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.41	0.83
Goals Conceded	0.73	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Ligue 1

St Eloi Lupopo vs Sanga Balende

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

4:0

Nov 14, 2025 Ligue 1

Sanga Balende vs St Eloi Lupopo

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Jul 10, 2025 Ligue 1

Sanga Balende vs St Eloi Lupopo

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Jun 7, 2025 Ligue 1

St Eloi Lupopo vs Sanga Balende

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 1

St Eloi Lupopo vs Sanga Balende

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Eloi Lupopo 45 / 100

Sanga Balende 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St Eloi Lupopo Sanga Balende

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St Eloi Lupopo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St Eloi Lupopo attacking → ← attacking Sanga Balende

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Eloi Lupopo scored in 68% of their last 44 games.

Sanga Balende let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

St Eloi Lupopo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sanga Balende lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

75 Points in last 5 36

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazembe	30	23	4	3	57:12	73
2	St Eloi Lupopo	30	19	6	5	55:27	63
3	Don Bosco	30	16	8	6	43:24	56
4	Simba	30	14	8	8	33:27	50
5	Manika	30	12	12	6	31:20	48
6	Tanganyika	30	13	5	12	38:32	44
7	Lubumbashi Sport	30	11	10	9	27:26	43
8	Blessing	30	11	7	12	33:31	40
9	Sanga Balende	30	10	6	14	25:34	36
10	Saint-Luc	30	9	8	13	21:33	35
11	Malole	30	9	6	15	34:39	33
12	New Soger	30	9	6	15	29:40	33
13	Tshinkunku	30	7	10	13	23:41	31
14	Groupe Bazano	30	7	9	14	26:38	30
15	Tshikas	30	6	10	14	25:40	28
16	US Panda	30	5	1	24	17:59	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AS Maniema	27	13	13	1	38:10	52
2	AS Vita Club	27	13	11	3	35:13	50
3	Aigles du Congo	26	13	9	4	32:16	48
4	Dauphins Noirs	26	13	6	7	35:20	45
5	Celeste	26	12	8	6	36:13	44
6	Etoile de Kivu	26	10	6	10	34:35	36
7	Motema Pembe	26	7	14	5	33:25	35
8	Anges Verts	26	6	11	9	26:32	29
9	New Jack	26	6	11	9	20:26	29
10	AC Rangers	27	7	8	12	21:35	29
11	FC MK Etancheite	26	6	8	12	15:35	26
12	FC Renaissance	27	4	13	10	21:40	25
13	OC Renaissance	26	4	10	12	14:33	22
14	Bukavu Dawa	26	2	8	16	10:37	14
15	Martin Pecheur	0	0	0	0	0:0	0