Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St Etienne II vs Colomiers

France France

National 2 - Group C 2019/2020
Sat, Mar 21, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This National 2 - Group C 2019/2020 encounter between St Etienne II and Colomiers promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. St Etienne II averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Colomiers shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for St Etienne II, 3 wins for Colomiers, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.03.20 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.42 for St Etienne II and 1.18 for Colomiers, suggesting the primary value lies in the Colomiers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
St Etienne II
25%
Draws
40%
Colomiers
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Colomiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • St Etienne II picked up more points recently compared to Colomiers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
St Etienne II Clean Sheet 20%
Colomiers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne II Colomiers
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.9 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.65

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

21.03.20 National 2 - Group C
St Etienne II vs Colomiers
0:0
19.10.19 National 2 - Group C
Colomiers vs St Etienne II
3:1
09.03.19 National 2 - Group B
St Etienne II vs Colomiers
1:0
22.09.18 National 2 - Group B
Colomiers vs St Etienne II
3:2
09.03.13 National 2 - Group C
St Etienne II vs Colomiers
0:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

St Etienne II

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Colomiers

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne II 36 / 100
Colomiers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne II Colomiers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colomiers or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

St Etienne II 39%
Colomiers 32%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

St Etienne II 33%
Colomiers 42%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

St Etienne II 35%
Colomiers 40%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

St Etienne II 37%
Colomiers 38%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

St Etienne II 32%
Colomiers 44%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

St Etienne II 40%
Colomiers 46%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St Etienne II attacking → ← attacking Colomiers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Etienne II have found the net in 67% of their last 21 matches.

Colomiers have conceded at least one goal in 84% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.

St Etienne II remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Colomiers suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 26
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sete21154233:1549
2Blois Foot 4120122624:2038
3Bergerac21106523:1636
4Les Herbiers20112729:1935
5Colomiers20710328:1931
6Saint-Pryve2187625:2631
7Bourges2194825:2131
8Angouleme CFC2179532:2630
9Nantes II21610523:1928
10Romorantin2167825:2025
11Andrezieux2158826:2523
12Trelissac2157918:2222
13Chamalieres2056919:2721
14Montpellier II2157925:3821
15St Etienne II21461119:3218
16Stade Bordelais21231618:479