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St Etienne vs Nice

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Boudaoui H. In: Vanhoutte C.
Out: Boudaoui H.
46'
Sub
Gouveia T. In: Abdi A.
Out: Gouveia T.
60'
Sub
Appiah D. In: Ferreira J.
Out: Appiah D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St Etienne
40%
Draws
29%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • St Etienne have won more games recently than Nice.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nice here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 20%
Nice Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Nice
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs St Etienne
4:1
May 26, 2026 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nice
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Coupe de France
Nice vs St Etienne
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nice
1:3
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs St Etienne
8:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 32 / 100
Nice 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Nice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: St Etienne scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Nice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: St Etienne stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Nice
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St Etienne-
TBD-
Red Star2
Rodez3
Semi-finals
Nice-
TBD-
St Etienne1
Rodez0
Final
Nice4
St Etienne1