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St Etienne vs Laval - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Etienne host Laval in the Ligue 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Laval have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while St Etienne have conceded 1.06 and scored 1.94. Past meetings favor St Etienne slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.13) point toward St Etienne. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
St Etienne
15%
Draws
31%
Laval
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • St Etienne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St Etienne's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 20%
Laval Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Laval
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.94 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Laval
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Ligue 2
Laval vs St Etienne
3:3
Jan 13, 2024 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Laval
0:0
Oct 23, 2023 Ligue 2
Laval vs St Etienne
0:1
May 13, 2023 Ligue 2
Laval vs St Etienne
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 67 / 100
Laval 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Laval

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Etienne's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Laval conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

St Etienne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Laval
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne

(Home)
31 Oct
Guingamp
3 : 0
St Etienne
24 Oct
St Etienne
1 : 0
Nantes
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1
St Etienne
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0
Rodez
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1
Sion
Page 1 of 7

Laval

(Away)
30 Oct
Laval
1 : 0
Boulogne
23 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Laval
16 Oct
Laval
3 : 3
Clermont
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
02 Oct
Laval
1 : 0
Rennes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
4 Nancy 10 6 1 3 12:8 19
5 Reims 10 4 6 0 20:12 18
6 Red Star 10 5 2 3 13:12 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 10 2 5 3 8:12 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)