Sport Picks
St Etienne vs Montpellier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 2 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne 
Match Events
41'
41'
Bernauer M.
Assist: Cardona I.
42'
42'
Camara Z.
45'
45'
Boakye A.
AI Match Summary
St Etienne in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Etienne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Etienne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: St Etienne at 1.93 per game, Montpellier at 1.76.
- Win probability leans Montpellier's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and St Etienne have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 18%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St Etienne | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Montpellier
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Montpellier
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs St Etienne
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs St Etienne
0:2
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Montpellier
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St Etienne Compare
Top Goalscorer Bernauer M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Boakye A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Montpellier Compare
Top Goalscorer Meddah D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St Etienne 28 / 100
Montpellier 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St Etienne Montpellier
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montpellier Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St Etienne found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
St Etienne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Montpellier conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
St Etienne VS Montpellier
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
St Etienne
(Home) 07 Nov
St Etienne
2 : 0 Laval
31 Oct
Guingamp
3 : 0 St Etienne
24 Oct
St Etienne
1 : 0 Nantes
17 Oct
Red Star
0 : 1 St Etienne
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0 Rodez
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
St Etienne
2 : 0 Laval
24 Oct
St Etienne
1 : 0 Nantes
10 Oct
St Etienne
2 : 0 Rodez
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1 Sion
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1 Montpellier
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Montpellier
(Away) 06 Nov
Montpellier
2 : 3 Metz
31 Oct
Annecy
0 : 3 Montpellier
26 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 1 Red Star
19 Oct
Rodez
0 : 3 Montpellier
09 Oct
Montpellier
2 : 0 Grenoble
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31 Oct
Annecy
0 : 3 Montpellier
19 Oct
Rodez
0 : 3 Montpellier
18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1 Montpellier
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1 Montpellier
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1 Montpellier
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 25:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Nancy | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Metz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Annecy | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Nantes | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 16 | Sochaux | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 18 | Laval | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | 9 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
