Sport Picks
St Etienne vs Montpellier
France
Ligue 2 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne 
Match Events
41'
41'
Bernauer M.
Assist: Cardona I.
42'
42'
Camara Z.
45'
45'
Boakye A.
AI Match Summary
St Etienne in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Etienne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Montpellier haven't matched St Etienne's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans St Etienne's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and St Etienne have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 18%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St Etienne | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Montpellier
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Montpellier
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs St Etienne
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs St Etienne
0:2
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Montpellier
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St Etienne Compare
Top Goalscorer Bernauer M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Boakye A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Montpellier Compare
Top Goalscorer Meddah D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St Etienne 85 / 100
Montpellier 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St Etienne Montpellier
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St Etienne found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
St Etienne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Montpellier conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
St Etienne VS Montpellier
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St Etienne
(Home) 19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2 St Etienne
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1 St Etienne
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1 Montpellier
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3 St Etienne
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0 Grenoble
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1 Montpellier
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0 Grenoble
14 Aug
St Etienne
3 : 1 Clermont
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3 Venezia
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0 Lausanne
Page 1 of 4
Montpellier
(Away) 18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1 Montpellier
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0 Pau
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1 Montpellier
28 Aug
Montpellier
0 : 0 Boulogne
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1 Montpellier
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Reims
1 : 1 Montpellier
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1 Montpellier
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1 Montpellier
14 Aug
Nancy
0 : 1 Montpellier
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1 Montpellier
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Reims | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 12 |
| 5 | Metz | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Nancy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Annecy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 18 | Laval | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
