Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St Etienne vs Nice

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Boudaoui H. In: Vanhoutte C.
Out: Boudaoui H.
46'
Sub
Gouveia T. In: Abdi A.
Out: Gouveia T.
60'
Sub
Appiah D. In: Ferreira J.
Out: Appiah D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St Etienne
11%
Draws
80%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Nice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • St Etienne have won more games recently than Nice.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Nice taking it.
  • St Etienne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nice, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nice here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 19%
Nice Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Nice
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs St Etienne
4:1
May 26, 2026 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nice
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Coupe de France
Nice vs St Etienne
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nice
1:3
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs St Etienne
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 12 / 100
Nice 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

St Etienne found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Nice has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: St Etienne stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Nice
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne

(Home)
22 Jul
Rangers
2 : 1
St Etienne
18 Jul
Servette
1 : 0
St Etienne
11 Jul
St Etienne
2 : 2
Biel
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 6

Nice

(Away)
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
17 May
Nice
0 : 0
Metz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St Etienne-
TBD-
Red Star2
Rodez3
Semi-finals
Nice-
TBD-
St Etienne1
Rodez0
Final
Nice4
St Etienne1