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Stadium Background

St Etienne vs Nice

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Boudaoui H. In: Vanhoutte C.
Out: Boudaoui H.
46'
Sub
Gouveia T. In: Abdi A.
Out: Gouveia T.
60'
Sub
Appiah D. In: Ferreira J.
Out: Appiah D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
St Etienne
30%
Draws
12%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • St Etienne have won more games recently than Nice.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on St Etienne taking it.
  • St Etienne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nice, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nice here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 68%
Nice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Nice
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs St Etienne
4:1
May 26, 2026 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nice
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Coupe de France
Nice vs St Etienne
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Nice
1:3
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Nice vs St Etienne
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 95 / 100
Nice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: St Etienne remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: St Etienne scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Nice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Nice
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne

(Home)
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0
Grenoble
14 Aug
St Etienne
3 : 1
Clermont
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
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Nice

(Away)
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
TBD -
Red Star 2
Rodez 3
Semi-finals
Nice -
TBD -
St Etienne 1
Rodez 0
Final
Nice 4
St Etienne 1