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St Etienne vs Paris FC

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Marchetti V.
25' Event
Kebbal I.
33' Event
Marchetti V.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between St Etienne and Paris FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paris FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
St Etienne
22%
Draws
60%
Paris FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Etienne come out ahead of Paris FC on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Paris FC taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 16%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Paris FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
St Etienne vs Paris FC
0:3
Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 2
Paris FC vs St Etienne
0:0
Nov 4, 2023 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Paris FC
0:1
Apr 8, 2023 Ligue 2
Paris FC vs St Etienne
2:4
Oct 15, 2022 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Paris FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Etienne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Paris FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchetti V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kebbal I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 19 / 100
Paris FC 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Paris FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Etienne scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Paris FC has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: St Etienne remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Paris FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%