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St Etienne W vs Metz W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Etienne W host Metz W in the Seconde Ligue Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: St Etienne W at 1.03 goals for, 1.66 against; Metz W at 1.45 for, 2.1 against. Past meetings favor St Etienne W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2023, ending 0:3. xG projections (2.31 - 1.38) back St Etienne W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
St Etienne W
30%
Draws
27%
Metz W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • St Etienne W have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Metz W are scoring more at 1.45.
  • St Etienne W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
St Etienne W Clean Sheet 17%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne W Metz W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Metz W vs St Etienne W
0:3
Jan 12, 2020 Coupe de France Women
Metz W vs St Etienne W
3:2
Feb 11, 2018 Coupe de France Women
St Etienne W vs Metz W
2:1
Apr 29, 2017 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Metz W
1:2
Oct 30, 2016 Premiere Ligue Women
Metz W vs St Etienne W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne W 84 / 100
Metz W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne W Metz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: St Etienne W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

St Etienne W's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne W VS Metz W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne W

(Home)
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3
St Etienne W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
22 Aug
St Etienne W
4 : 2
Roubaix W
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Metz W

(Away)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)