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St Etienne W vs Nantes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Stade Salif Keita, Saint-Étienne
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
St Etienne W
35%
Draws
10%
Nantes W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St Etienne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Nantes W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on St Etienne W taking it.
  • Nantes W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nantes W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
St Etienne W Clean Sheet 20%
Nantes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne W Nantes W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Nantes W
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Nantes W
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs St Etienne W
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Nantes W
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Nantes W vs St Etienne W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne W 85 / 100
Nantes W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne W Nantes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: St Etienne W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Nantes W let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Nantes W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne W VS Nantes W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne W

(Home)
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3
St Etienne W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
22 Aug
St Etienne W
4 : 2
Roubaix W
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Nantes W

(Away)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
06 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 0
Nantes W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Lens W 3 2 0 1 5:1 7
3 St Etienne W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Strasbourg W 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Saint-Malo W 2 2 0 0 4:1 5
6 Auxerre W 2 2 0 0 4:2 5
7 Thonon Evian W 3 2 0 1 6:10 5
8 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Le Mans W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
10 Fleury 91 W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
11 Roubaix W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Montpellier W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Le Havre W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
14 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Nice W 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
16 Lille W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
17 Cannes W 2 0 0 2 4:7 1
18 Bourges 18 W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Toulouse W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)