Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Gallen vs Basel

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Okoroji C.
15' Event
Okoroji C.
29' Event
Boukhalfa C.

AI Match Summary

St. Gallen in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Gallen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St. Gallen
40%
Draws
29%
Basel
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Gallen have won more games recently than Basel.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Gallen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 19%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen Basel
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Basel
3:0
Feb 4, 2026 Swiss Cup
St. Gallen vs Basel
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Super League
St. Gallen vs Basel
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoroji C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boukhalfa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Basel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen 32 / 100
Basel 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen Basel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Basel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

St. Gallen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen VS Basel
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen

(Home)
26 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Zurich
23 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Benfica
17 Jul
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Norwich
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3
St. Gallen
01 Jul
Winterthur
0 : 1
St. Gallen
Page 1 of 6

Basel

(Away)
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1
Basel
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0
Juventus
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
08 Jul
Basel
0 : 3
Yverdon
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thun33242775:3774
2St. Gallen33179764:4060
3Lugano33169850:3857
4Basel331581051:4553
5Sion331313751:3552
6Young Boys331391165:6048
7Luzern3310101364:6140
8Servette339131157:5740
9Lausanne331091447:5739
10Zurich331041945:6334
11Grasshoppers33691840:6527
12Winterthur33472235:8619
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)