Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Gallen vs Benfica

Europe Europe

Europa League Kybunpark
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Gallen host Benfica in the Europa League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Benfica have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while St. Gallen have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, St. Gallen have won 3 to Benfica's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 2-1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.50, favoring St. Gallen. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
St. Gallen
44%
Draws
20%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Gallen and Benfica have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 16%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen Benfica
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Europa League
St. Gallen vs Benfica
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 Europa League
Benfica vs St. Gallen
3-1
Mar 12, 2025 Europa League
St. Gallen vs Benfica
3-0
Feb 12, 2025 Europa League
Benfica vs St. Gallen
1-1
Jan 12, 2025 Europa League
St. Gallen vs Benfica
2-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen 36 / 100
Benfica 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Benfica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: St. Gallen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen VS Benfica
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hammarby-
TBD-
TBD-
Anderlecht-
Qarabag Agdam3
Vestri0
CSKA Sofia3
Derry City2
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
Hradec Kralove-
Twente-
TBD-
Vojvodina1
Ferencvaros2
Besiktas-
TBD-
TBD-
Midtjylland-
Hajduk Split2
Zilina0
TBD-
Pafos-
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Aluminij0
TBD-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
St. Gallen-
TBD-
TBD-
Benfica-
Dynamo Kyiv0
Universitatea Cluj0
TBD-
PAOK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Hammarby-
Anderlecht-
TBD-
TBD-
Tromso-
Hradec Kralove-
Twente-
TBD-
Besiktas-
Midtjylland-
TBD-
Pafos-
TBD-
Maccabi Tel Aviv-
St. Gallen-
Benfica-
TBD-
PAOK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-