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St. Gallen vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Okoroji C.
43'
Konietzke C.
46'
Sub
Besio D. In: Vogt A.
Out: Besio D.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between St. Gallen and Thun finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St. Gallen
39%
Draws
30%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Thun's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what St. Gallen have produced (2).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 10%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen Thun
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Super League
Thun vs St. Gallen
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Super League
Thun vs St. Gallen
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
1:2
Jun 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Thun vs St. Gallen
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Konietzke C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Heule M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen 30 / 100
Thun 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Thun conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: St. Gallen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen VS Thun
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen

(Home)
26 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Zurich
23 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Benfica
17 Jul
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Norwich
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3
St. Gallen
01 Jul
Winterthur
0 : 1
St. Gallen
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Thun

(Away)
28 Jul
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Thun
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thun382431180:5275
2St. Gallen382010872:4770
3Lugano381910959:4267
4Sion381615763:4063
5Basel381681455:5856
6Young Boys3815101380:6955
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)