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St. Gallen vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Kybunpark, St. Gallen
St. Gallen Logo

St. Gallen

1 - 1
FT
Thun Logo

Thun

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Okoroji C.
43'
Konietzke C.
46'
Sub
Besio D. In: Vogt A.
Out: Besio D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between St. Gallen and Thun finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
St. Gallen
15%
Draws
34%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Gallen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • St. Gallen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 10%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen Thun
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
3:4
May 17, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Super League
Thun vs St. Gallen
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Super League
Thun vs St. Gallen
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Konietzke C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Heule M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen 34 / 100
Thun 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Thun conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Thun has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen VS Thun
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen

(Home)
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Sion
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
02 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 0
St. Gallen
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Thun

(Away)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thun 38 24 3 11 80:52 75
2 St. Gallen 38 20 10 8 72:47 70
3 Lugano 38 19 10 9 59:42 67
4 Sion 38 16 15 7 63:40 63
5 Basel 38 16 8 14 55:58 56
6 Young Boys 38 15 10 13 80:69 55
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)