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St. Gallen vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Labeau B.
42'
Strannegard T.
45'
Steffen N.

AI Match Summary

Thun in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
St. Gallen
20%
Draws
50%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Gallen lately — more wins on the board than Thun.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 10%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen Thun
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
3:4
May 17, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Super League
Thun vs St. Gallen
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Super League
Thun vs St. Gallen
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Frokaj L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scherrer N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Labeau B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reichmuth N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen 30 / 100
Thun 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Thun has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

St. Gallen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen VS Thun
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen

(Home)
12 Sept
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Sion
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
02 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 0
St. Gallen
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
27 Aug
St. Gallen
2 : 3
Nordsjaelland
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Thun

(Away)
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
27 Aug
Thun
2 : 2
Lech Poznan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 7 6 1 0 19:6 19
2 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 28:16 16
3 Sion 7 5 0 2 17:11 15
4 Basel 7 3 1 3 12:12 10
5 St. Gallen 7 3 1 3 12:14 10
6 Luzern 7 2 3 2 10:13 9
7 Grasshoppers 7 2 2 3 10:14 8
8 Zurich 7 2 1 4 11:18 7
9 Thun 7 2 1 4 11:18 7
10 Vaduz 7 2 0 5 16:17 6
11 Lausanne 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
12 Servette 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)