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St. Gallen vs Thun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Labeau B.
42'
Strannegard T.
45'
Steffen N.

AI Match Summary

Thun in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
St. Gallen
15%
Draws
32%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Gallen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Gallen lately — more wins on the board than Thun.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on St. Gallen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 17%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen Thun
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.9 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
3:4
May 17, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Super League
Thun vs St. Gallen
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Super League
Thun vs St. Gallen
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
St. Gallen vs Thun
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Frokaj L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scherrer N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Labeau B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reichmuth N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen 39 / 100
Thun 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Gallen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Thun conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

St. Gallen's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

St. Gallen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen VS Thun
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen

(Home)
31 Oct
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Servette
24 Oct
Young Boys
2 : 0
St. Gallen
16 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2
St. Gallen
11 Oct
St. Gallen
1 : 0
Lausanne
03 Oct
Bruhl SG
3 : 3
St. Gallen
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
01 Nov
Lausanne
4 : 5
Thun
25 Oct
Thun
2 : 3
Lugano
22 Oct
Thun
0 : 1
Hajduk Split
18 Oct
Schaffhausen
2 : 3
Thun
15 Oct
Twente
1 : 0
Thun
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 12 11 1 0 36:10 34
2 Young Boys 12 7 4 1 38:23 25
3 Sion 12 7 2 3 25:18 23
4 Zurich 12 6 2 4 25:26 20
5 St. Gallen 12 6 1 5 19:22 19
6 Servette 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
7 Basel 12 4 2 6 18:22 14
8 Luzern 12 3 4 5 19:25 13
9 Thun 12 4 1 7 24:34 13
10 Vaduz 12 3 1 8 24:25 10
11 Grasshoppers 12 2 4 6 15:28 10
12 Lausanne 12 1 3 8 11:22 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)