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St. Gallen W vs Luzern W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Espenmoos, St. Gallen
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Schefer S.
34'
Schnider M.
46'
Sub
Schefer S. In: Ibishaj M.
Out: Schefer S.

AI Match Summary

St. Gallen W in this Super League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Gallen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
St. Gallen W
30%
Draws
64%
Luzern W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luzern W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Luzern W haven't matched St. Gallen W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Luzern W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Gallen W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
St. Gallen W Clean Sheet 10%
Luzern W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen W Luzern W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Super League Women
Luzern W vs St. Gallen W
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Super League Women
St. Gallen W vs Luzern W
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super League Women
Luzern W vs St. Gallen W
0:3
May 3, 2025 Super League Women
St. Gallen W vs Luzern W
5:3
Apr 26, 2025 Super League Women
Luzern W vs St. Gallen W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavelti S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibishaj M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Luzern W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schallberger R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen W 10 / 100
Luzern W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen W Luzern W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Luzern W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

St. Gallen W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen W VS Luzern W
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen W

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Gallen W
1 : 4
Grasshopper W
13 Sept
Young Boys W
4 : 1
St. Gallen W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
28 Aug
Luzern W
3 : 1
St. Gallen W
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Luzern W

(Away)
18 Sept
Luzern W
3 : 3
Yverdon W
13 Sept
Grasshopper W
0 : 0
Luzern W
09 Sept
Luzern W
2 : 0
Rapperswil-Jona W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
28 Aug
Luzern W
3 : 1
St. Gallen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 18 15 2 1 42:5 47
2 Young Boys W 18 11 3 4 32:13 36
3 Basel W 18 10 5 3 23:13 35
4 Grasshopper W 18 10 3 5 33:22 33
5 Zurich W 18 8 5 5 33:20 29
6 St. Gallen W 18 7 5 6 25:28 26
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 18 3 7 8 19:30 16
8 Aarau W 18 2 5 11 11:28 11
9 Luzern W 18 2 4 12 21:50 10
10 Thun W 18 1 3 14 17:47 6
Promotion - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)