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St. George City vs Rockdale Ilinden

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Penshurst Park, Sydney
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
09:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. George City host Rockdale Ilinden in the NPL NSW. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: St. George City at 1 goals for, 1.63 against; Rockdale Ilinden at 2 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Rockdale Ilinden slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.81) point toward Rockdale Ilinden. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
St. George City
6%
Draws
90%
Rockdale Ilinden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rockdale Ilinden lately — more wins on the board than St. George City.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rockdale Ilinden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rockdale Ilinden have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St. George City Clean Sheet 11%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George City Rockdale Ilinden
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
1:0
May 24, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:4
Feb 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
2:2
May 26, 2024 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George City 10 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George City Rockdale Ilinden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rockdale Ilinden conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: St. George City scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: St. George City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George City VS Rockdale Ilinden
1 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George City

(Home)
25 Jul
St. George City
1 : 0
Sydney Utd
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0
St. George City
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2
UNSW
05 Jul
Wollongong
3 : 3
St. George City
27 Jun
SD Raiders
3 : 1
St. George City
Page 1 of 6

Rockdale Ilinden

(Away)
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 3
Sutherland Sharks
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2
Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)