Sport Picks
St. George City vs Rockdale Ilinden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Penshurst Park, Sydney 
Match Events
77'
77'
Bedleg L.
AI Match Summary
St. George City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. George City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. George City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rockdale Ilinden lately — more wins on the board than St. George City.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on St. George City taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
St. George City Clean Sheet 16%
Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. George City | Rockdale Ilinden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
1:0
May 24, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Rockdale Ilinden
1:4
Feb 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
2:2
May 26, 2024 NPL NSW
Rockdale Ilinden vs St. George City
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. George City Compare
Top Goalscorer Bedleg L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Rockdale Ilinden Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. George City 66 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. George City Rockdale Ilinden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. George City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. George City's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Rockdale Ilinden conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
St. George City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
St. George City VS Rockdale Ilinden
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
St. George City
(Home) 30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
25 Jul
St. George City
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2 UNSW
20 Jun
St. George City
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
06 Jun
St. George City
1 : 1 Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 3
Rockdale Ilinden
(Away) 30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0 UNSW
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 Manly Utd
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6 Rockdale Ilinden
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
