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St. George City vs St George Saints

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Penshurst Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. George City play St George Saints in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. George City averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. St George Saints averaged 1 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, St. George City won 3, St George Saints won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for St. George City and 1.13 for St George Saints. This points to a St. George City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
St. George City
20%
Draws
30%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. George City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • St. George City picked up more points recently compared to St George Saints.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
St. George City Clean Sheet 21%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George City St George Saints
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs St. George City
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs St George Saints
0:0
Jul 13, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs St. George City
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs St George Saints
1:2
Jun 15, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs St. George City
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George City 49 / 100
St George Saints 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George City St George Saints

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. George City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. George City attacking → ← attacking St George Saints

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George City scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

St George Saints let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

St. George City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St George Saints lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 24
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
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4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715